The Griffith by-election is a classic opportunity for an anti-politics candidate to shoot through and claim the prize. As I noted in another post, governments don’t gain seats from oppositions in by-elections, it’s not in the electorates nature to give the government more powers once they have a comfortable working majority in the lower house. But Labor’s vote is starting from a relatively low base and their outgoing candidate was something of a political colossus suggesting that there is limited love for the ALP.
These sort of circumstances are fertile ground for an anti politics, local issues based campaign. With the financial backing of a figure like Clive Palmer a decent third party candidate could easily scrape 20% of the vote on primaries and make a real run for it after preferences.
Yet Clive is nowhere to be seen and Labor looks set to walk it in. It’s a strange world.